Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 2.876785e-05 0.000034 0.000040 0.000047 0.000054 0.000062 0.000072
2025-04-13 2.001177e-05 0.000027 0.000034 0.000044 0.000055 0.000068 0.000083
2025-04-20 1.490270e-05 0.000022 0.000031 0.000042 0.000056 0.000073 0.000095
2025-04-27 1.183683e-05 0.000019 0.000029 0.000042 0.000059 0.000080 0.000107
2025-05-04 9.598579e-06 0.000017 0.000027 0.000042 0.000062 0.000086 0.000119
2025-05-11 8.510922e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000044 0.000067 0.000096 0.000136
2025-05-18 6.994818e-06 0.000015 0.000026 0.000044 0.000069 0.000102 0.000147
2025-05-25 5.388822e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000042 0.000068 0.000104 0.000153
2025-06-01 4.289371e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000041 0.000069 0.000107 0.000161
2025-06-08 3.504091e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000040 0.000070 0.000111 0.000171
2025-06-15 2.876372e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000040 0.000071 0.000116 0.000181
2025-06-22 2.303594e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000039 0.000072 0.000119 0.000189
2025-06-29 1.691943e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000038 0.000072 0.000122 0.000198
2025-07-06 1.115568e-06 0.000005 0.000015 0.000036 0.000070 0.000123 0.000203
2025-07-13 7.649379e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000034 0.000070 0.000125 0.000211
2025-07-20 5.643891e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000034 0.000071 0.000130 0.000223
2025-07-27 4.148121e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000034 0.000073 0.000136 0.000235
2025-08-03 3.627823e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000036 0.000078 0.000146 0.000255
2025-08-10 2.566002e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000035 0.000080 0.000151 0.000267
2025-08-17 1.477455e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000034 0.000078 0.000152 0.000273
2025-08-24 8.773636e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000033 0.000078 0.000155 0.000281
2025-08-31 5.322492e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000033 0.000079 0.000159 0.000292
2025-09-07 3.094166e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000032 0.000080 0.000164 0.000304